Will Mexico City's highest temperature on April 20 reach exactly 18°C? Current odds: 0%. Trade prediction markets on daily weather in Mexico City.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Mexico City, located at 2,240 meters elevation in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt, experiences a subtropical highland climate with relatively stable temperatures throughout the year. In April, the city's daily highs typically range between 24°C and 28°C, making an 18°C maximum temperature an unusually cool and unlikely outcome for the region. The current market odds of 0% clearly reflect trader consensus that such a low temperature is highly improbable for this date. An 18°C high would require significantly unusual weather patterns, such as a strong cold front moving southward from the northern United States or prolonged cloud cover combined with precipitation events. This is a recurring daily weather prediction market covering Mexico City's maximum temperature each day, allowing traders to speculate on specific weather outcomes. The market's liquidity of $10,636 and 24-hour volume of $2,590 indicate moderate participant interest in daily weather trading for this location. Historical meteorological data consistently shows that April highs in Mexico City rarely drop below 20°C, which explains the minimal implied probability currently assigned to the 18°C temperature threshold. Only unusual atmospheric conditions would support such a cool maximum.
The market resolves YES if the maximum temperature in Mexico City on April 20 reaches exactly 18°C according to official weather records. Otherwise it resolves NO.
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