Miami's daily high temperature in mid-April typically ranges from 80-86°F, with occasional variance depending on cloud cover and wind patterns. This market narrows the prediction to a specific 2-degree band: between 78-79°F. The 2% odds reflect how unlikely this narrow range is relative to seasonal norms. Traders are effectively pricing in that Miami will either be warmer than 79°F—the more probable outcome given April's warmth—or cooler than 78°F, though the latter is less common. The market resolves against Miami's National Weather Service official high for April 20, 2026, a public and verifiable data source. With current YES odds at just 2%, the market implies strong consensus that the high will fall outside this band. Temperature prediction markets like this track micro-level weather outcomes and are popular among weather enthusiasts and forecast traders. The low odds have remained stable, suggesting traders consistently expect Miami to be either above or below this specific range.