Will Miami's highest temperature on April 20 reach between 80-81°F? Current market odds: 11% YES. Trade weather prediction markets live.
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Miami's weather on April 20 presents a narrowly defined trading opportunity centered on a specific temperature band. This market tracks whether the daily high temperature in Miami will fall within the 80-81°F range on that date. At 11% odds, the market currently prices this outcome as unlikely, suggesting traders believe Miami's temperature will either exceed 81°F or stay below 80°F on that day. April is typically spring in South Florida, with daily highs ranging from the mid-70s to low 80s Fahrenheit depending on prevailing weather patterns and atmospheric conditions. The 80-81°F range represents a relatively narrow band within Miami's typical April temperature distribution, explaining the low probability reflected in current market pricing. Resolution uses official National Weather Service data, making this market fully objective and verifiable. The current price of 11% implies slightly below one-in-ten chance of this specific outcome occurring. With 24-hour volume of $1,817 and liquidity of $3,532, this is a specialized weather trading market attracting weather-focused traders. Participants can monitor this market through April 20 to observe if actual temperatures align with current market expectations and pricing.
The market resolves YES if Miami's official high temperature on April 20, 2026, falls between 80°F and 81°F according to National Weather Service data. Resolution occurs at market close on April 20.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.