Will the highest temperature in Milan reach exactly 14°C on April 20? Current odds 0%. Trade this daily weather prediction market with live odds.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Milan's weather on April 20, 2026, falls within Italy's temperate spring season, with typical April highs in the Lombardy region ranging from 15 to 20 degrees Celsius. This prediction market asks whether the highest recorded temperature in Milan on that specific date will be exactly 14°C—slightly below the seasonal average for late April. Weather markets are fully resolvable through official meteorological data published by Italy's national weather service, which maintains daily temperature records for all major cities. The current 0% odds on YES outcomes suggest traders perceive the probability of exactly 14°C as extremely low given typical spring warming patterns. Historical temperature variations and weather model consensus factor into trading decisions. Daily weather markets like this one resolve at the end of the specified date based on official recorded highs. The narrow target of one exact temperature point makes this a challenging prediction; most weather variables span ranges rather than precise single values. As April 20 approaches, improved weather forecasts and real-time market pricing will inform trading activity.
The market resolves on April 20, 2026, when Milan's official daily high temperature is recorded by meteorological authorities. Resolution uses data from Italy's national weather service.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.