Moscow experiences highly variable spring weather in late April, with temperatures fluctuating between below freezing and moderately cool conditions. A high of exactly 3°C represents cool weather but remains plausible during this season, particularly if a cold air mass moves over the region. The prediction market currently prices this scenario at only 2%, reflecting the difficulty of forecasting precise temperature endpoints. This valuation suggests traders believe the maximum temperature is more likely to deviate above or below 3°C rather than settle exactly on that value. The 2% probability implies roughly a 1-in-50 chance of the maximum equaling 3°C, typical pricing for highly specific meteorological outcomes. With $3,919 in liquidity and $1,457 in 24-hour volume, the market maintains moderate trading activity. Daily temperature markets serve as real-time aggregations of collective forecasting and appeal to traders with exposure to weather-dependent outcomes. Such precise temperature targets make these markets particularly sensitive to model uncertainty and the inherent unpredictability of daily extremes.