Munich's April weather sits in spring transition, with typical daily highs ranging from 12°C to 18°C. This market asks whether the highest temperature on April 19 will be precisely 18°C—a moderately warm day for the season. Such specific temperature targets are uncommon; most days deviate by at least one or two degrees. Current odds show 3% probability assigned to this exact outcome, reflecting the narrow window required. The 97% probability favoring other temperatures suggests traders view a spread of outcomes as more likely: cooler days around 10–16°C or warmer days above 18°C. Historical data for Munich in mid-April indicates an average high of about 15°C, making 18°C warmer than typical but not extreme. The resolution is straightforward—meteorological stations track Munich's actual highest temperature on April 19, ending the market at midnight UTC. This market will remain open through April 18, giving traders until market close to adjust positions. Volume of $1,956 over 24 hours and $4,028 in liquidity show modest but sustained interest in this specific weather outcome. Odds may shift as the date approaches and forecasts narrow.