Will the highest temperature in Munich reach exactly 7°C on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Trade this precise weather market with $10K liquidity.
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Munich's weather on April 20 represents a discrete daily temperature event in the prediction market. The market resolves based on whether the highest temperature recorded in Munich on April 20, 2026 equals exactly 7°C—not a range, but a precise value. The current 0% odds on YES indicate that market participants see this exact temperature as highly improbable. Early spring in Munich typically records daily highs between 10 and 15°C, though unseasonable cold snaps and regional variation can push readings lower. Achieving exactly 7°C as the day's maximum temperature would be uncommon during a normal April but remains meteorologically possible. The market has $10,610 in liquidity and $797 in 24-hour volume, providing reasonable trading depth. The extreme pricing—essentially no probability assigned to 7°C—reflects collective prediction market belief that April 20's conditions will diverge significantly from this threshold. Temperature prediction markets appeal to traders seeking granular weather outcome exposure. Resolution relies on official data from Munich's standard weather station, recorded at the close of April 20 UTC. The binary nature of the outcome—either exactly 7°C or not—creates a sharp resolving criterion.
Resolves YES if Munich's highest temperature on April 20, 2026 is exactly 7°C per official weather data. Resolution occurs April 21, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.