Will New York City's highest temperature be 64°F or higher on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Live prediction market for daily NYC weather.
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This prediction market tracks whether New York City will reach a high temperature of 64°F or above on April 20, 2026. Daily temperature markets use official weather data from the National Weather Service to determine outcomes, making them resolvable and verifiable by independent meteorological sources. The current market price of 0% YES odds reflects trader expectations that New York City's high temperature will remain below the 64°F threshold on that day, indicating cooler spring conditions are anticipated. Weather prediction markets have become increasingly popular for tracking meteorological outcomes, as they aggregate real-time expectations from participants who monitor forecasts, historical patterns, and seasonal trends. The market settles based on the official high temperature recorded for the New York City area on April 20. These temperature-based prediction markets appeal to participants interested in weather-dependent outcomes, including energy traders, agricultural participants, or those tracking local weather patterns for planning purposes.
This market resolves to YES if the highest temperature in New York City on April 20, 2026 reaches 64°F or higher according to National Weather Service data, and NO if the high remains below 64°F.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.