Will the highest temperature in New York City on April 20 be between 46-47°F? Current YES odds trading at 3%. Live weather prediction market.
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New York City's daily high temperature on April 20 is a specific, objectively measurable weather event that can be precisely resolved through official meteorological records. This prediction market focuses on whether NYC will record a high temperature in the narrow 46-47°F range on that date. At 3% odds, the market is pricing this outcome as unlikely — most traders expect either warmer or colder conditions for mid-April in the Northeast region. The tight temperature band of just 1°F reflects the inherent precision challenge: hitting an exact narrow range requires favorable weather patterns precisely aligned with cooler-than-normal April conditions. New York's typical April highs range in the mid-50s to low-60s Fahrenheit, making a 46-47°F high notably cool for the season and well below seasonal norms. The market settles based on official daily high temperature readings from recognized weather stations serving NYC, typically Central Park weather observations. Throughout the trading cycle, odds have remained consistently low, indicating strong trader skepticism about this precise temperature outcome occurring on the specified date. This market appeals to weather enthusiasts, seasonal pattern traders, and those interested in hyper-specific meteorological forecasts and extreme precision predictions.
The market settles YES if NYC's official daily high temperature on April 20 registers between 46-47°F per National Weather Service records; otherwise NO. Resolution occurs at market end time.
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