Will NYC's highest temperature on April 20 be between 60-61°F? Current market odds: YES 1%, NO 99%. Trade this weather prediction market live.
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New York City's weather on April 20 is a straightforward event to resolve, as the daily high temperature is objectively measurable by the National Weather Service and other official meteorological agencies. The prediction market for whether the highest temperature will fall between 60-61°F reflects participants' expectations about spring weather patterns in the northeastern United States. At current odds of just 1% for YES, the market is pricing this temperature range as highly unlikely, suggesting traders believe the actual high will differ significantly from this narrow band. April weather in NYC is typically variable, with highs ranging from the upper 50s to low 70s Fahrenheit depending on prevailing weather systems. A 60-61°F range is relatively cool for mid-April, which may explain the low probability reflected in the market price. The odds trajectory throughout the trading period provides insight into how sentiment and forecasts evolve as the event date approaches. Traders can adjust positions as new weather data, atmospheric models, and seasonal patterns become clearer, making this an actively traded short-term prediction market.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026, based on the official National Weather Service high temperature reading for New York City. The market settles YES if the highest temperature is between 60-61°F (inclusive), and NO otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.