Will Panama City's highest temperature on April 20 be 21°C or below? Current YES odds: 0%. Prediction market on tropical weather conditions.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Panama City experiences a tropical climate where temperatures remain consistently warm throughout the year, with minimal seasonal variation compared to temperate zones. April falls within Panama's rainy season, characterized by afternoon showers rather than cool conditions. Historical weather data shows that the average high temperature in Panama City during April ranges from 28°C to 32°C, meaning a high of 21°C or below would represent a significant departure from normal conditions. Such a temperature would require unusual atmospheric patterns—such as a rare cold front from higher latitudes or extraordinary weather disruption—neither of which occur regularly in this tropical region. The market's current 0% odds reflect the statistical near-impossibility of this outcome, given decades of climate data and typical seasonal patterns. Temperature readings are objectively verifiable through official meteorological sources including the Panama Meteorological Institute and internationally recognized weather services, ensuring this market resolves with high confidence.
The market resolves YES if Panama City's highest temperature on April 20 reaches 21°C or below; otherwise it resolves NO. Resolution uses official temperature data from the Panama Meteorological Institute or equivalent meteorological authority.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.