Will Panama City's highest temperature be exactly 26°C on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Live prediction market tracking weather outcomes.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Panama City experiences tropical weather year-round, with April typically characterized by warm temperatures and increasing rainfall as the rainy season begins its transition phase. The city averages daytime highs between 28–30°C in April, making a peak daily temperature of exactly 26°C a cooler-than-normal outcome for this time of year in Central America. This prediction market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on April 20, 2026 will be exactly 26°C, resolvable using official weather data from Panama's National Meteorological Institute or other equivalent recognized weather observation stations. The current 0% odds suggest traders view this precise outcome as extremely unlikely, reflecting the statistical rarity of a day's highest temperature aligning with an exact temperature figure. Weather systems produce continuous fluctuations, and a single day's high typically falls within a broader range rather than landing on a specific round number. The market's minimal odds indicate strong confidence that Panama City will register either warmer temperatures more typical of April or a measurement that differs from the 26°C threshold. As the market date approaches, odds may shift based on updated weather forecasts providing clearer predictability of daily highs.
Resolves YES if Panama City's highest temperature on April 20, 2026 is exactly 26°C, verified by official weather data from Panama's meteorological authority.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.