Will San Francisco's highest temperature on April 20 reach 55°F or below? Current YES odds stand at 0%, indicating traders expect warmer weather conditions.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
San Francisco experiences variable spring weather in mid-April, with typical highs ranging from the mid-50s to low-60s Fahrenheit. The specific threshold of 55°F or below for April 20 represents a relatively cool outcome for this time of year. At current YES odds of 0%, the prediction market indicates that traders overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to exceed 55°F, suggesting confidence in warmer conditions. This market is resolvable using official National Weather Service data for San Francisco International Airport or the city's downtown weather station, which provides verified daily temperature records. The historically low odds may reflect seasonal weather patterns where April temperatures in San Francisco typically trend toward the upper 50s or 60s. As the market approaches its April 20 close, odds will likely fluctuate based on updated meteorological forecasts and real-time weather development. This daily temperature market exemplifies how precision weather events create trading opportunities around specific thresholds, allowing traders to position themselves based on their own weather forecasts and confidence levels.
The market resolves YES if the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on April 20, 2026 is 55°F or below, using official National Weather Service data for San Francisco International Airport. The market closes at midnight UTC on April 20, 2026.
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