Will Seattle's highest temperature on April 20 reach between 50-51°F? Current odds: 0% YES. Trade weather prediction markets with live odds.
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This market tracks the daily high temperature in Seattle for April 20, 2026, allowing traders to forecast hyper-local weather conditions with precision. April is a transitional month in the Pacific Northwest, with average highs typically ranging from 56-60°F, making a high between 50-51°F relatively uncommon and representing cooler-than-normal conditions for this time of year. The market resolves based on the National Weather Service official maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, which serves as the authoritative data source for all Seattle weather measurements and forecasts. At 0% YES odds, the prediction market currently assigns negligible probability to the temperature falling within this narrow 50-51°F range. This pricing suggests traders collectively expect the actual high to either exceed 51°F or remain below 50°F on that date. The current market confidence reflects broader seasonal expectations for mid-April in the Seattle metropolitan area. Weather prediction markets enable traders to profit from precise forecasts of local atmospheric conditions, with resolution tied to verifiable government meteorological data that removes all ambiguity from the final outcome determination.
Market resolves on April 20, 2026 at 00:00 UTC based on the highest temperature recorded by the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.