Will the highest temperature in Seattle reach 52-53°F on April 20? Current odds: 0% YES. Trade the weather outcome in this prediction market.
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Seattle's weather on April 20 is a key focus for this temperature prediction market. April marks the transition from spring's variability to warmer days in the Pacific Northwest, with typical highs in Seattle ranging from 58°F to 62°F during mid-April. This market specifically targets whether the day's highest temperature will fall within the narrow 52-53°F band, a range that would suggest cooler-than-average conditions for the season. The current 0% odds indicate strong market confidence that the actual high will fall outside this specific range—either significantly warmer or slightly cooler. The market is highly resolvable, as NOAA and local weather stations record official daily high temperatures with precision. Trading this market requires assessing both historical weather patterns and current seasonal forecasts. The tight 1-degree range makes this a precise outcome prediction, distinguishing it from broader temperature markets. With the event occurring April 20, resolution will be immediate, making this suitable for short-term weather traders. The $14,885 in available liquidity supports active trading throughout the day.
This market resolves on April 20 based on the official daily high temperature recorded for Seattle by NOAA weather stations. The YES outcome occurs if the high temperature falls within the 52-53°F range; any temperature outside this range resolves to NO.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.