Will Seoul's highest temperature reach exactly 11°C on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Market settles using Korea Meteorological Administration official data.
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Seoul experiences varied spring weather in mid-April, with typical daily highs ranging from 15°C to 20°C depending on prevailing weather patterns. The specific prediction that Seoul's maximum temperature will be exactly 11°C on April 20 is significantly cooler than historical April averages, suggesting either a notable cold front or substantial weather disruption. The current market pricing at 0% YES odds reflects the extremely low probability of this outcome occurring. Resolution of this market depends on official temperature measurements from the Korea Meteorological Administration, which provides verifiable, objective data. The gap between typical spring temperatures in Seoul and the predicted 11°C explains the minimal market interest at present. Participants evaluating this prediction would consider seasonal weather trends, any cold weather alerts or forecasts issued for the region, and the region's historical temperature patterns for late April. As April 20 approaches, updated meteorological forecasts will likely influence market odds, with any significant cooling trend potentially raising prices from current levels.
This market resolves based on the official Korea Meteorological Administration measurement of Seoul's daily maximum temperature on April 20, 2026. It settles YES only if the highest temperature recorded is exactly 11°C.
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