Will Shanghai's highest temperature fall to 12°C or below on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Participate in real-time weather prediction markets.
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Shanghai experiences spring weather patterns in mid-April, typically featuring warm daytime temperatures and variable humidity. The question asks whether the highest recorded temperature on April 20 will not exceed 12°C, which represents unusually cold conditions for this period of the year. At 0% YES odds, the prediction market is currently pricing this outcome as extremely unlikely, reflecting typical April weather patterns in Shanghai where temperatures at this point generally range between 18°C and 25°C. The market has $12,733 in liquidity and has seen $3,073 in trading volume over the past 24 hours, indicating consistent interest in weather prediction markets. The resolution will be determined by the official maximum temperature recorded on April 20, using publicly available meteorological data from standard weather stations in Shanghai. With only a very low probability assigned by traders, any significant cold snap or unusual weather system would be required for the YES outcome to occur, making this a useful market for those interested in weather trading dynamics.
The market resolves YES if Shanghai's recorded high temperature on April 20 is 12°C or below; NO otherwise. Resolution uses official Shanghai meteorological data.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.