Will Shanghai's highest temperature be exactly 19°C on April 20? Currently trading at 21% odds. Resolve based on official weather records.
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Shanghai experiences variable spring weather in mid-April, with daily highs typically ranging from 18°C to 24°C depending on prevailing air masses and synoptic weather patterns. This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Shanghai on April 20 will be exactly 19°C—a precise outcome requiring both that the temperature reach this specific value and that no higher readings occur throughout the day. The 21% odds suggest traders view this exact outcome as unlikely, reflecting the natural variance in daily temperature ranges across the city. April represents a transition period between spring and early summer in Shanghai, when both continental and maritime air masses influence conditions. Resolution is straightforward: official temperature data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine whether the daily maximum equals 19°C. The odds have remained relatively stable, indicating modest conviction in either direction among traders. Daily weather markets like this appeal to weather enthusiasts and meteorology followers, providing a venue for precise weather predictions within a 24-hour window. These markets demonstrate how specific meteorological outcomes can be tradeable events with clear, verifiable endpoints.
This market resolves YES if Shanghai's highest recorded temperature on April 20 is exactly 19°C according to official meteorological data. The market expires at midnight UTC on April 21.
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