Will Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 20 reach 22°C or below? Current odds: 0%. Track live predictions for tomorrow's weather market conditions.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Shenzhen, China's bustling southern metropolis, experiences mild spring weather in April. The prediction market tracks whether the city's highest temperature on April 20 will remain at or below 22°C—a relatively cool threshold for the season in Shenzhen, where temperatures typically range from 20–28°C in mid-to-late April. The current 0% YES odds indicate strong market consensus that the daily high will exceed 22°C. This pricing reflects historical April weather patterns and current atmospheric conditions. The market resolves based on official temperature data recorded at standard weather monitoring stations in Shenzhen. Temperature readings determine whether the highest recorded temperature on April 20 meets or falls short of the 22°C threshold. Traders monitor weather forecasts and seasonal trends to assess the likelihood of cooler conditions. The significant liquidity in this market—over $8,600—suggests active participation from weather-focused traders. The nearly complete collapse in YES odds reflects confidence in warmer-than-threshold outcomes, though liquidity remains available for those anticipating an unusually cool day.
The market resolves YES if Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 20 is 22°C or below, based on official weather station data. Any temperature above 22°C results in a NO resolution.
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