Will Shenzhen's highest temperature reach exactly 25°C on April 20, 2026? Current YES odds: 0%. Predict weather outcomes in real-time.
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Shenzhen is located in southern China and experiences a subtropical climate characterized by warm springs and hot summers. April represents a transition period when daily temperatures steadily rise as the region moves from spring toward summer. This market asks whether Shenzhen's highest daily temperature will be exactly 25°C on April 20, 2026. The current 0% YES odds suggest traders believe the maximum temperature will fall either above or below this precise threshold, rather than land exactly on it. Resolution depends on official weather data from China's meteorological authority, which maintains reliable, publicly available daily temperature records. Shenzhen's typical April temperatures range between 20°C and 28°C, placing 25°C within seasonal expectations yet as one specific outcome among many possibilities. The 0% odds imply strong consensus that the high will diverge from exactly 25°C—either warmer or cooler. Low trading volume reflects the granular nature of predicting such a specific daily temperature. Market participants show minimal disagreement about this outcome, likely because hitting a precise temperature within a narrow range carries inherently lower probability than broader range predictions.
Market resolves YES if official China Meteorological Administration records show Shenzhen's highest daily temperature on April 20, 2026 as exactly 25°C; otherwise resolves NO.
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