Will Singapore's highest temperature reach exactly 23°C on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Trade this weather prediction market for daily outcomes.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Singapore's equatorial location maintains consistently warm temperatures throughout the year, with daily highs typically ranging between 30 and 32 degrees Celsius. A peak temperature of 23°C would represent a significant anomaly, roughly 7 to 9 degrees cooler than April's seasonal baseline. The current 0% YES odds reflect traders' consensus that such dramatic cooling is virtually impossible for Singapore. This market resolves based on the daily maximum temperature recorded by Singapore's Meteorological Service on April 20, 2026. While monsoon transitions and low-pressure systems occasionally influence regional weather, they rarely produce such substantial temperature deviations in Singapore's trade wind belt. The steep odds decline suggests market participants view this outcome as an extreme outlier rather than a plausible weather event. Historical April data supports this assessment, showing minimal variation from the 30–32°C high range.
Market resolves on April 20, 2026, based on the daily high temperature recorded by Singapore's Meteorological Service. Settlement depends on whether the maximum temperature reaches exactly 23°C on that date.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.