Will Singapore's temperature hit exactly 25°C on April 20? YES odds: 0%. This weather prediction market has $10,834 liquidity to trade.
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Singapore maintains a tropical climate with consistent weather patterns throughout the year. In April, the island nation typically records daily high temperatures between 30 and 32 degrees Celsius, driven by equatorial positioning and monsoon dynamics. A high of exactly 25 degrees Celsius would represent a dramatic departure from historical norms—roughly 5-7 degrees cooler than typical April weather. The market currently prices this outcome at 0%, reflecting overwhelming consensus that such a significant cooling event is exceptionally unlikely during this period. Resolution depends on official data from Singapore's national weather service, published daily in their meteorological reports. While extreme weather events occur globally, Singapore's stable tropical climate makes sudden temperature anomalies of this magnitude rare. The persistent 0% pricing suggests traders are highly confident that typical warm April conditions will prevail, with minimal risk of the anomalous cooling required for this market to resolve YES.
This market resolves on April 20 at midnight UTC based on the official highest temperature recorded in Singapore that day, published by the National Environment Agency. The market closes YES if the official high equals exactly 25°C and closes NO for any other temperature.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.