Will Singapore's highest temperature reach exactly 31°C on April 20? Current prediction market odds show 38% probability. Track live updates and trading activity.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Singapore experiences a tropical climate with relatively consistent high temperatures year-round, typically ranging between 29°C and 33°C depending on monsoon patterns and atmospheric conditions. On April 20, 2026, this prediction market assesses whether the highest temperature recorded for that day will be exactly 31°C—a specific threshold that sits near the middle of Singapore's typical daily range. The current 38% odds suggest market participants view a 31°C peak as moderately unlikely for that particular date, potentially expecting higher temperatures given typical seasonal weather patterns. The market's price reflects underlying uncertainty about cloud cover, rainfall duration, wind patterns, and atmospheric pressure—all factors that influence daily temperature maxima in tropical regions. This weather prediction market draws volume from meteorology enthusiasts, climate-focused traders, and participants interested in tracking atmospheric variations. The market resolves objectively based on official meteorological data from Singapore's Meteorological Department, ensuring verifiable and transparent outcomes.
The market resolves on April 21, 2026, using official Singapore meteorological data for April 20's highest recorded temperature. YES resolution requires the peak temperature to equal 31°C.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.