Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on April 20? Current odds: 0% YES. Traders believe temperatures will exceed this unusual threshold for the season.
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Tel Aviv experiences mild to warm weather in late April, with typical high temperatures ranging from 25 to 28 degrees Celsius. This weather prediction market asks whether the highest temperature on April 20 will be 15°C or below—an unusually cold threshold for the season in the Eastern Mediterranean. At current odds of 0% YES, traders are overwhelmingly confident that temperatures will exceed 15°C, reflecting both historical climate data and typical April weather patterns for the region. A 15°C maximum would represent a significant and rare cold snap, inconsistent with normal spring conditions in Tel Aviv. The market's pricing reflects the very low probability of such an extreme outlier event occurring on this date. With $9,830 in available liquidity and modest daily volume, this represents a standard daily weather market. The straightforward resolution criteria make it ideal for traders interested in accurate short-term weather forecasting. Official recorded temperature data determines outcomes, eliminating any ambiguity in settlement. Resolution occurs at midnight UTC on April 20, 2026.
Market resolves at midnight UTC on April 20, 2026, based on the official recorded high temperature for Tel Aviv. YES wins if the maximum is 15°C or below; NO wins if it exceeds 15°C.
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