Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 20 reach 25°C or higher? YES odds: 1%. Trade this weather prediction market with current liquidity.
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Tel Aviv in mid-April typically experiences warm daytime temperatures, with historical highs ranging from 20-28°C depending on seasonal weather patterns. This prediction market tracks whether the maximum temperature recorded in the city on April 20 will reach or exceed 25°C, with resolution determined by official weather station measurements. The current 1% YES odds suggest traders assign very low probability to reaching this temperature threshold on this specific date. For context, Tel Aviv's typical April high averages around 26°C, though daily variations occur regularly due to weather systems and seasonal transitions. The overwhelming 99% weighting toward NO indicates market participants expect cooler-than-average conditions, perhaps reflecting meteorological forecasts or historical temperature patterns for this date. Prediction markets on daily weather events allow traders to express views on observable, measurable outcomes, with market prices aggregating collective expectations about future conditions. The odds shift continuously based on buy and sell pressure, reflecting evolving market sentiment about temperature probabilities. Such markets provide valuable signals for understanding consensus forecasts and the distribution of likely outcomes for specific weather events.
This market resolves YES if the highest temperature recorded in Tel Aviv on April 20, 2026 reaches or exceeds 25°C according to official meteorological data. Resolution is determined at market close on April 20.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.