Will Toronto's highest temperature on April 20 be exactly 7°C? Current market odds: 5% YES, reflecting the low probability assigned by traders to this specific weather outcome.
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Toronto experiences typical April temperatures with highs ranging from 10°C to 15°C as spring conditions transition from winter weather patterns. This prediction market asks whether Toronto's highest temperature on April 20, 2026 will be exactly 7°C—a notably cool threshold for late April. Current market odds at 5% for YES indicate traders view this outcome as unlikely given typical seasonal patterns. The price of 5% reflects the probability consensus among current market participants. With $1,429 in 24-hour trading volume and $2,816 in total liquidity, this weather market shows moderate interest from traders actively following daily temperature predictions. A temperature reading of exactly 7°C would represent conditions noticeably cooler than April's typical pattern in Toronto, though spring weather can vary considerably from day to day. Market participants are pricing the likelihood of this specific temperature threshold being reached. The market resolves based on the official highest temperature recorded in Toronto on April 20, 2026, using measurable meteorological data from official weather sources. Resolution uses publicly available information, making this a straightforward binary outcome.
The market resolves on April 20, 2026 based on the official highest temperature recorded in Toronto that day, settling YES only if the high is exactly 7°C.
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