Will Warsaw's highest temperature reach exactly 9°C on April 20? Current YES odds: 0%. Market powered by real trader activity and Polymarket data.
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This market tracks whether Warsaw will experience a daily high temperature of exactly 9°C on April 20, 2026. Warsaw in mid-April typically sees temperatures ranging from 7°C to 15°C as spring weather patterns transition across Central Europe. The question hinges on precise meteorological measurement of the day's maximum temperature. Currently trading at 0% odds, the market reflects trader assessments that hitting exactly 9°C is extremely unlikely, as weather variations and seasonal forecasts typically suggest a broader range. The resolution depends on official weather data from a recognized meteorological authority serving Warsaw, with the market settling at market close on April 20. Recent trading volume of $611 over 24 hours indicates modest participation, though the $5,240 liquidity provides clarity on available odds. The 0% pricing suggests traders anticipate temperatures will deviate significantly from this precise threshold, whether warmer or cooler than 9°C. Weather markets like this reflect collective forecasting based on historical patterns, seasonal trends, and real-time atmospheric conditions that shape daily temperature outcomes across European cities.
This market resolves on April 20, 2026 at market close based on the official maximum temperature recorded in Warsaw. The outcome settles YES if the daily high is exactly 9°C, NO otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.