Will Wellington, New Zealand record a high of exactly 10°C on April 20? Current market odds show 0% YES probability. Market resolves April 20, 2026.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Wellington, New Zealand's capital located on the lower North Island, experiences variable autumn weather patterns in April. This prediction market examines a specific daily temperature outcome: whether the highest temperature recorded in Wellington on April 20 will be exactly 10°C. Unlike broader temperature forecasts, this market requires precision—trading occurs around a single degree value. The current market odds of 0% for YES indicate that participants expect the high temperature to fall outside this exact threshold, either above or below 10°C. Historically, Wellington's April high temperatures typically range between 12 and 16 degrees Celsius, making a reading of exactly 10°C a cooler outcome than average. The market resolves using the official temperature reading from the New Zealand Meteorological Service at the close of April 20. These daily recurring temperature markets appeal to weather analysts, data scientists, and traders interested in precise meteorological predictions. The 0% probability reflected in current odds may reflect high confidence in a warmer outcome, structural difficulty in achieving the exact temperature, or limited participation in this specific prediction.
Market resolves YES if Wellington's recorded high temperature on April 20 is exactly 10°C, confirmed by New Zealand Meteorological Service. Market closes at midnight UTC on April 20, 2026.
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