Wellington is New Zealand's capital and second-largest city. It has a temperate oceanic climate with relatively cool temperatures year-round. An April 20 high of exactly 14°C represents a notably cool day for autumn in Wellington, where typical April highs average around 15-17°C. This market is resolvable because the maximum temperature recorded at Wellington's official weather stations will be publicly available from meteorological authorities. The current 18% YES price suggests traders assess this exact outcome as unlikely but possible. Weather prediction markets typically fluctuate based on meteorological forecasts and seasonal temperature patterns. At 18%, the market is pricing in a substantial probability that Wellington's high will deviate from exactly 14°C, either warmer or cooler than that threshold. Traders tracking this market would reference regional weather models and historical April weather data for Wellington.