Will Bitcoin be priced between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21? Current market odds: 29% YES. Trade this weekly prediction market for Bitcoin price ranges.
This market has been archived. Historical content preserved below.
Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility in recent weeks, and traders are actively positioning for the April 21 expiration. The $76,000–$78,000 range represents a relatively narrow 2.6% band that requires Bitcoin to remain relatively stable over this timeframe. At 29% YES odds, the market is pricing in a higher probability that Bitcoin will trade outside this range by expiration—either moving above $78,000 or below $76,000. This reflects broader market expectations of continued price movement. The market carries $16,164 in liquidity with 24-hour volume of $3,338, providing reasonable depth for traders. Historical Bitcoin data shows that weekly price swings of 5–10% are not uncommon, particularly during periods of elevated macro uncertainty or sentiment shifts. The market resolves objectively at midnight UTC on April 21 based on Bitcoin's actual price at that moment. Recent economic data, Federal Reserve communications, and risk sentiment will likely influence trading patterns into expiration. This prediction market allows traders to position on Bitcoin's price stability within the specified band.
Market resolves on April 21 at 00:00 UTC based on Bitcoin's price at that exact moment. YES wins if Bitcoin closes between $76,000 and $78,000; NO wins otherwise.
Polymarket Trade is an independent third-party interface to the Polymarket CLOB prediction market exchange on Polygon — not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. Prediction markets aggregate trader expectations into real-time probability estimates. Every market question resolves YES or NO based on a specific event outcome; traders buy shares of the side they believe will resolve positively. Prices range 0¢ (certain no) to 100¢ (certain yes) and naturally reflect the crowd-implied probability of YES. Polymarket Trade is non-custodial — your funds never leave your wallet. Open the full interactive page linked above to place orders, see order book depth, and execute a trade.