Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie earn less than $31 million in its 3rd weekend? Current YES odds: 0%. Live prediction market tracking box office performance.
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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is the latest animated film adaptation of the Nintendo intellectual property. Box office performance is highly resolvable because third-weekend domestic gross is objectively measured and publicly reported through industry-standard sources such as Box Office Mojo and similar tracking services. This market asks whether the third weekend will generate less than $31 million in ticket sales. The current market odds of 0% for YES indicate consensus expectation that the third weekend gross will equal or exceed the $31 million threshold. Box office results depend on multiple factors including opening weekend momentum, critical reception, competitive releases in the marketplace, and audience demand patterns. The prediction market provides a mechanism for traders to express expectations about upcoming box office performance with quantified odds. Current volume of approximately $21,000 reflects moderate trader participation in this particular outcome. The market resolves on April 20, 2026, when the third weekend box office data becomes available and can be verified against published industry sources. This imminent resolution window makes the market outcome highly dependent on actual near-term theatrical performance.
This market resolves based on the official third weekend box office gross for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie from Box Office Mojo on April 20, 2026, determining whether the gross falls below or meets/exceeds $31 million.
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