Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's 3rd weekend box office total be between $37M–$40M? Current YES odds: 2%. Trade this prediction market.
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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie has entered its third weekend of theatrical release, and this market invites traders to predict whether the film's box office gross will fall between $37M and $40M. Box office performance is tracked transparently in real-time by industry sources such as Box Office Mojo, ensuring complete resolvability and eliminating ambiguity once the weekend concludes. Currently trading at just 2% YES odds, the market reflects strong consensus among participants that the third weekend performance will fall outside this specific $37–40M range—suggesting expectations that the film will either outperform or underperform this corridor. The movie's trajectory across its first two weekends, combined with competitive theatrical releases and broader market trends, shapes these price signals. This prediction market offers a mechanism for participants to express precise views on near-term box office momentum and performance relative to the implied range. Resolution comes directly from official box office data published after the weekend, providing objective clarity on which outcome occurred.
Market resolves based on official box office data for the Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend (ending April 20, 2026), specifically whether the weekend gross falls between $37M and $40M.
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