The question examines whether President Trump will make an official announcement declaring the US-Iran ceasefire broken by April 21, 2026. The ceasefire between the US and Iran represents a significant geopolitical development with implications for Middle East stability and regional conflicts, particularly regarding Israel-Iran tensions. The market focuses specifically on Trump's official statements or announcements regarding ceasefire status, not on actual military actions. At 10% YES odds, the market prices a low probability of such an announcement within the specified timeframe. This price suggests market participants view the ceasefire as likely to hold through April 21, though geopolitical tensions remain a key risk factor. The market will resolve YES if Trump makes a clear public announcement that the ceasefire has been broken; NO if the ceasefire remains in effect through April 21. Trading volume of $15,429 indicates moderate market interest in this geopolitical outcome. Recent odds movements will reflect any significant diplomatic developments or escalations in US-Iran relations over the next few days.