This market tracks whether the United Kingdom will conduct direct military strikes against Iran by April 30, 2026. The context involves ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, with regional powers potentially escalating involvement. The UK has traditionally aligned with Western allies on Middle Eastern security matters but rarely initiates independent military actions without NATO coordination or UN Security Council approval. The current YES odds of 1% reflect strong market consensus that direct UK military strikes remain highly unlikely within this timeframe. For resolution, the market requires documented evidence of military action—airstrikes, naval operations, or ground incursions—officially attributed to UK forces and targeting Iranian territory or assets. The low odds trajectory suggests markets have priced in the significant political and logistical barriers to independent UK military intervention, including parliamentary approval requirements and international legal considerations. Liquidity stands at $11.5K with sustained trading activity reflecting confidence in this low-probability assessment. The market resolves on April 30, 2026 based on credible reporting from established news outlets and official statements from UK or Iranian authorities confirming military engagement.