West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is the primary benchmark for US oil prices, tracked globally by energy traders and investors worldwide. The question asks whether WTI will breach $170 per barrel at any point during April 2026, with the market resolving by April 30. Currently priced at 1% odds, this reflects extreme skepticism about such a significant price spike in such a short timeframe. As of mid-April 2026, WTI typically trades in the $60–$90 range, so reaching $170 would require more than doubling prices in just two weeks—an event demanding severe geopolitical disruption, major supply shock, or unprecedented demand surge. The market structure suggests traders view this outcome as remote; such thinly-priced markets typically indicate no meaningful expectation of the event occurring before expiration. Historically, WTI has experienced large moves during geopolitical crises, but compressed, predictable rallies rarely occur in such short windows. The 1% pricing reflects the baseline probability assigned to extreme oil shocks within this specific April window. This market serves as a gauge for how energy traders assess tail-risk scenarios and sudden supply disruptions.