Rotten Tomatoes prediction markets track the critical reception of films measured by the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer—a consensus score aggregated from professional critics. These markets allow you to express forecasts on whether upcoming or recently-released films will achieve specific critical thresholds. On the Tomatometer, scores range from 0% to 100%, with ratings typically categorized as: - **Certified Fresh** (75%+): Critical consensus that a film is worth watching - **Fresh** (60-74%): Generally positive reviews - **Rotten** (Below 60%): Mixed or negative critical reception Common prediction markets on this tag track questions like "Will this film score at least 40% on the Tomatometer?" or "Will this film surpass 50% on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?" These markets often feature high-profile releases expected to receive significant critical attention. **Factors that influence Tomatometer scores include:** - Professional critics' reviews from major publications - The film's genre and industry expectations - Director reputation and prior critical reception - Production budget and distribution reach - Viewer engagement and word-of-mouth - Release timing and competitive landscape Prices in these markets reflect the collective forecast of whether a film will meet the specified critical threshold. Early prices may reflect pre-release expectations, while prices shift as reviews arrive and consensus emerges. Markets typically resolve after the film's release and sufficient critical reviews accumulate, when Rotten Tomatoes publishes the official Tomatometer score.