This collection tracks prediction markets related to Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations and ceasefire outcomes. These markets reflect the collective forecast of thousands of traders worldwide on key questions about the probability and timing of potential peace agreements. Common questions tracked here include: - Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by the end of 2026? - What are the odds of a peace deal by mid-2026 or mid-2027? - When will ceasefire negotiations likely conclude? **What moves these prices:** Prices on peace-related markets fluctuate based on developments including: - **Diplomatic activity**: Peace talk announcements, negotiation milestones, official statements, and summit meetings - **Military developments**: Frontline changes, weapons deliveries, military announcements, and operational shifts - **International involvement**: Actions and statements from international organizations, allied nations, and global leaders - **News and events**: Major announcements, policy shifts, and significant developments affecting negotiation dynamics - **Precedent and analysis**: Traders assess historical parallels and expert forecasts to estimate resolution timelines These prediction markets function as a real-time indicator of informed consensus on peace outcomes. Active price movement reflects new information and shifting expectations. By tracking these markets, you can see how global traders assess the probability and timing of potential resolutions to the conflict.