World Cup Tournament Futures — Live Odds | Polymarket Trade

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is one of the most anticipated sporting events globally, and prediction markets capture the collective expectations around tournament outcomes. On Polymarket, traders forecast which teams will win the tournament, advance through stages, score performance milestones, and other competitive dynamics that unfold across the tournament. Common questions traders ask include: Will Panama, Iraq, Jordan, Haiti, or New Zealand win the 2026 World Cup? Will specific teams reach the finals or semi-finals? What will be the total number of goals scored? Which players will be tournament top scorers? Several factors shape prices on World Cup futures markets: **Team Strength & History** — Historical World Cup performance, FIFA rankings, recent tournament results, and squad composition influence expectations. Traditional powerhouses tend to trade at lower odds, while emerging nations trade higher. **Squad Roster Quality** — Player injuries, transfers, form during qualifying rounds, and domestic league performance directly impact odds. A team losing key players to injury can shift prices meaningfully. **Group Stage Matchups** — The tournament draw determines early opponents, which affects perceived advancement probability. Favorable group assignments lower odds; challenging groups raise them. **Recent Form & Qualification** — How teams performed in World Cup qualifying matches and recent international friendlies shapes near-term price movements. **Market Dynamics & Liquidity** — Significant order flow from traders, media narratives, and betting syndicates can drive prices independently of underlying fundamentals. Prices on Polymarket reflect real-time consensus around these factors, updating continuously as new information (injuries, match results, team news) emerges during the tournament.