Brazil's Selic rate—the benchmark interest rate set by the Banco Central do Brasil—is one of the country's most powerful monetary policy tools. At its April 2026 meeting, the Central Bank's monetary policy committee will decide whether to hold, increase, or decrease this key rate, a decision that shapes Brazil's inflation trajectory, currency strength, borrowing costs, and investment returns. The Selic rate affects not only Brazil's domestic economy but also global emerging market flows and sentiment. This collection of prediction markets captures the three possible outcomes: a rate increase, a rate decrease, or no change. Each path forward carries distinct implications for Brazil's economic direction. The odds displayed below represent the collective expectations of thousands of market participants—traders, analysts, and investors who commit real capital based on their forecasts. Higher odds on an outcome signal stronger market conviction that it will occur; lower odds indicate greater skepticism. These prices shift dynamically as new economic data arrives, global conditions evolve, or consensus changes about the Central Bank's likely path. By monitoring how the markets price these three scenarios, you gain transparency into what informed participants expect and how their confidence changes over time. Unlike traditional analyst surveys, prediction market prices reflect genuine financial incentives to be accurate, offering an unfiltered view of forward-looking expectations for Brazil's monetary policy and economic future.