About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects YES (93%). Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$7.53 (+8%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability93.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +6.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 69 days
- Price jumped +6.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability93%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.6% → 1.1%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
Brazil's Selic rate cut is priced as highly likely at 93% YES with a +3% 24h jump, signaling trader conviction ahead of the April 28 meeting; inflation trajectory and BCB forward guidance are the key drivers, and the market is already pricing in the expected easing cycle.