The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions shape the broader economy and financial markets worldwide. These four prediction markets focus on a critical sequence of monetary policy moves: the Fed's decisions in March, April, and June 2026. Each market represents a distinct scenario of how policymakers might respond to evolving economic conditions—whether they choose to pause rate adjustments, cut rates, or pursue a combination of actions across the three meetings. Rather than predicting a single outcome, this event aggregator bundles the most likely and widely discussed policy paths so you can compare probabilities across different scenarios simultaneously. The four markets here cover all the key combinations that market participants and economists are considering: a pause signals no change in the fed funds rate, while a cut indicates a rate reduction. Some scenarios anticipate the Fed starting to ease policy after an extended period of higher rates (the cut combinations), while others suggest a more cautious approach with pauses dominating (the pause-heavy scenarios). Understanding the relative pricing of these markets—which scenarios show higher or lower probability estimates—provides insight into what the prediction market aggregates about Federal Reserve strategy and economic outlook. When examining the prices below, note that higher prices typically indicate higher probability estimates from market participants. Comparing across the four scenarios reveals which narrative about Fed policy is gaining consensus: Will the central bank prioritize fighting persistent inflation with a continued pause, or will it shift toward rate relief if economic growth softens? Will it move gradually with a single cut, or more aggressively with two cuts over the quarter? These markets reflect collective expectations from traders, economists, and market analysts, offering a real-time view of monetary policy sentiment as new economic data arrives.