Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 17 | Polymarket Trade

Bitcoin's price on May 17 is a focal point for traders and analysts worldwide. The five markets below represent a critical set of price-level forecasts for Bitcoin on that specific date, spanning from $76,000 at the conservative end to $92,000 at the bullish extreme. Together, they form a pricing gradient that reveals where traders and market participants believe Bitcoin's price is most likely to settle. These markets are grouped because they all address the same underlying question from different angles: What will Bitcoin's price be on May 17? By breaking that single question into five discrete price thresholds, the markets create a probability curve that shows not just whether Bitcoin will reach a particular price, but how confident traders are at each level. This cascading structure is more informative than a single prediction, because it illuminates the entire distribution of trader expectations rather than a single point estimate. Each market displays odds (shown as a decimal price between $0.00 and $1.00) that reflect aggregated trader conviction. A market priced at $0.70 indicates traders assign approximately 70% probability to Bitcoin finishing above that level; a market at $0.25 suggests roughly 25% probability. As you move from $76K to $92K, you'll notice probabilities decrease—this reflects realistic expectations that Bitcoin is far more likely to exceed $76K than to exceed $92K on a given date. What to watch: Price consistency reveals market coherence. If probabilities fall smoothly as targets rise ($0.95, $0.85, $0.70, $0.50, $0.25), the market is pricing a well-defined expectation. Sudden jumps or reversals can signal disagreement or recent news that shifted trader sentiment. Throughout May 16 and into May 17, these prices will shift constantly as new information arrives and trading activity concentrates near the settlement date. Returning to this page regularly will show you how conviction evolves.