China's approach to international trade and diplomacy in May 2026 carries significant implications for global markets, energy prices, and geopolitical stability. This event-aggregated collection of five prediction markets tracks a critical window of potential Chinese policy announcements spanning diplomacy, commerce, and strategic commodity policy. Between now and May 22, these markets assess the likelihood of China announcing participation in Iran nuclear negotiations, committing to major purchases of U.S. soybeans and crude oil, ordering Boeing aircraft, and potentially providing relief on rare earth element exports. Each market functions as a barometer of collective expectations around China's economic and foreign policy priorities. Readers examining these prices should recognize the deep interconnections across these outcomes: trade concessions often accompany diplomatic breakthroughs, and commodity purchase commitments signal shifting economic priorities. The probability reflected in each market incorporates not only the announcement itself but the broader geopolitical context shaping China's decision-making. A rise in Iran negotiations probability, for instance, could correlate with changes in U.S.-China trade sentiment, since diplomatic progress might ease tensions affecting bilateral commerce. Agricultural and energy purchase announcements tend to cluster together in real-world trade negotiations, so observers should watch whether these markets move in tandem or diverge—divergence can signal shifting priorities or emerging obstacles. By tracking how these markets move collectively, traders and analysts gain insight into market consensus on the pace of U.S.-China rapprochement and China's economic priorities relative to geopolitical objectives. The May 22 deadline creates a discrete evaluation window, allowing clear resolution and reducing ambiguity around announcement timing.