Tokyo's maximum temperature on May 17, 2026, is a concrete, measurable event that these three linked prediction markets help quantify. Participants can express views on whether Tokyo's high will be 20°C or below, exactly 22°C, or exactly 23°C. Together, these markets form a price-discovery mechanism for an outcome that will be objectively verified when the date arrives. The interdependence of these three markets reveals how prediction markets price correlated events. If Tokyo's actual high turns out to be 22°C, the second market resolves YES while the others resolve NO. This structure means market prices encode information about probability distributions across temperature ranges. For readers familiar with weather forecasting, comparing the implied probabilities across all three markets against official meteorological predictions offers a way to identify potential mispricings. When examining the prices displayed below, consider what each market's current probability implies about the broader temperature outlook. Stronger pricing on the 22°C and 23°C markets suggests the crowd expects temperatures in the low 20s Celsius; conversely, higher prices on the ≤20°C market signal expectations of cooler conditions. Because May in Tokyo typically features daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius range, this event offers a window into how public markets price near-consensus outcomes against historical norms. The resolution standard is fixed and unambiguous—the officially recorded maximum temperature on May 17, 2026—eliminating guesswork about what the event outcome actually was.