Mexico City Max Temperature May 17 | Polymarket Trade

Mexico City's maximum temperature on May 17, 2026, is the subject of an interconnected cluster of prediction markets. These markets break down possible temperature outcomes into specific thresholds rather than broad ranges—asking whether the high will fall at precise points like 16°C, 17°C, 18°C, 19°C, 20°C, or below. This granular structure reflects how real weather prediction works: meteorologists and traders alike assess probabilities for specific outcomes, not just general categories. Grouped together, these markets form a complete probabilistic picture of the day's expected weather. The relationships between these markets reveal important patterns. If multiple adjacent markets trade at similar prices, the market is suggesting genuine uncertainty across that range. If one stands distinctly higher, it signals consensus on a particular outcome. By comparing prices across the full set, readers can see the complete landscape of possibilities rather than just the single most likely temperature—a richer picture than any single forecast provides. When evaluating these markets, look both at individual prices and at patterns across the group. Do the probabilities build a coherent story, or do they scatter across multiple outcomes? The collective view these markets paint together offers insight into how traders see the weather distribution on May 17—detailed, granular, and probabilistic in a way that captures genuine uncertainty rather than false precision.