Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 72% NO. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$257.14 (+257%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability28.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -11.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -11.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$19K
Current Probability28%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 8.0% → 4.1%
244 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert