Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 87 days
- Price moved -0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved down to 6.5% from 6.6% baseline — 3% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$400
Liquidity$20K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.1% → 1.4%
244 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets9
Anomalies
WarningPricez=3