SBF released from custody in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (92% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 43 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$4K
Liquidity$23K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.9% → 1.7%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
SBF's release from custody in 2026 trades at just 9%, reflecting strong market confidence that his legal proceedings will extend beyond year-end; the catalyst depends on appeal outcomes and judicial decisions.