Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$18K
Liquidity$441K
Current Probability7%
Resolves in6mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.2% → 2.6%
185 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert