Trump out as President before 2027?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 85% NO. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$525.00 (+525%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability16.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: AInformed flowMature market (153d)
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$71K
Liquidity$597K
Current Probability16%
Resolves in8mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.9% → 1.7%
267 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
AI Brief
A 16% probability that Trump exits the presidency before 2027 reflects tail-risk pricing around impeachment or removal scenarios over the next 8 months. The declining price action (-1%) suggests confidence is drifting toward completion of his term, though constitutional removal remains a low but real possibility given ongoing legal pressures.